Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Houston Dynamo v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals
Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Houston Dynamo
ABD
5-0
HT 4-0
Portland Timbers
ABD
2-1
HT 2-0
Houston Dynamo
ABD
Houston Dynamo 1-0 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics
Houston Dynamo squeezed past Portland Timbers 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Houston Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Houston Dynamo had 55% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 45%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.88 to 0.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Houston Dynamo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.33 for Portland Timbers.
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers?
Houston Dynamo 1-0 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 49%, draw 24%, Portland Timbers 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.