Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Aug 2026

📅15/08/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.91
Over
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.36
2-3
38%
1.77
4-5
24%
3.37
6+
10%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.1
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
19%
5.16
X/2
6%
6.75
X/X
13%
4.69
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.71
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.54/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.51
+16% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
420 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.3 Crosses 16.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.52 xG 1.28
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 Passes 194
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
27 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
01.03.2025 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
09.11.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
09.03.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
12.11.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-3 HT 2-3 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
03.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2-2
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.61 xG 0.57
21 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
373 Passes 282
45 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale and Kyoto Sanga couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.61 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyoto Sanga led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.17 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga?

Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 15/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 46%, draw 25%, Kyoto Sanga 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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