Colorado Rapids 2-1 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.9
2-3 Goals
37%
2.06
4-5 Goals
25%
2.59
6+ Goals
15%
5.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.34
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
13%
4.7
X/2
8%
8.46
X/X
9%
6.23
2/1
7%
20.0
2/2
12%
5.26
2/X
10%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.59/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.79
-19% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.5 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portland Timbers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.17 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.08.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids CONLK
25.02.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-1 HT 4-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
24.09.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-2 HT 2-2 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
13.07.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
26.06.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-0 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
01.05.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-0 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
2-1
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.30 xG 2.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
440 Passes 356
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids squeezed past Portland Timbers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colorado Rapids as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 55% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 45%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.30 to 2.12 — on chances, Portland Timbers could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Colorado Rapids and 2.33 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers?

Colorado Rapids 2-1 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 49%, draw 26%, Portland Timbers 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Rapids), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
15 Sep 2024
02:30 Toronto FC vs Austin Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
02:30 Orlando City vs New England Revolution Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs Charlotte Analysis →
02:30 Atlanta United vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew Analysis →