Ruanda 2-1 Benin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 15 Oct 2024

Ruanda
2-1 HT 0-1
Benin
📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.45
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.0pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.5pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruanda EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Benin EU Bookmakers 37%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.56/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.88
-75% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
27.6 Crosses 13.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruanda
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Benin
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.01 xG 1.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
306 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2024 Benin Benin 3-0 HT 1-0 Ruanda Ruanda AFUK
06.06.2024 Benin Benin 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruanda Ruanda DKE
29.03.2023 Ruanda Ruanda 0-3 HT 0-0 Benin Benin AFUK
22.03.2023 Benin Benin 1-1 HT 0-1 Ruanda Ruanda AFUK
08.09.2013 Benin Benin 2-0 HT 1-0 Ruanda Ruanda DKE
10.06.2012 Ruanda Ruanda 1-1 HT 0-0 Benin Benin DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruanda
2-1
AWAY Benin
1.75 xG 0.87
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
297 Passes 122
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ruanda vs Benin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruanda squeezed past Benin 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Ruanda made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ruanda had 66% of the ball to Benin's 34%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.75 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benin led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ruanda and 1.83 for Benin.

What was the final score of Ruanda vs Benin?

Ruanda 2-1 Benin in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruanda vs Benin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benin win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ruanda 33%, draw 31%, Benin 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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