Forest Green Rovers 3-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.12
2-3 Goals
45%
2.09
4-5 Goals
26%
2.45
6+ Goals
9%
5.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.59
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.18
X/2
5%
16.25
X/X
12%
8.52
2/1
6%
19.0
2/2
3%
12.1
2/X
4%
20.3
Value flag · X/1 at 4.18 — our 26% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.9pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
13%
Away Win
13%
-0.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.88/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.68
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
260 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 170 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Gateshead
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-3 HT 0-2 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
21.09.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
18.02.2017 Gateshead Gateshead 3-1 HT 2-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
13.08.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
12.03.2016 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
26.09.2015 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
3-1
AWAY Gateshead
58% Ball Possession 42%
32 Total Shots 13
18 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers saw off Gateshead 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 58% of the ball to Gateshead's 42%, shots finished 32-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.17 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Gateshead?

Forest Green Rovers 3-1 Gateshead in the England - National League on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 65%, draw 22%, Gateshead 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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