Boulogne 1-1 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 May 2025

Boulogne
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Chateauroux
📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Boulogne vs Chateauroux Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.95
Away
17%
4.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.2
Over
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.59
No
43%
2.21
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.5
2-3
45%
1.89
4-5
28%
2.75
6+
8%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Boulogne v Chateauroux — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Boulogne The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux The Market 25%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.05 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.93
0.93 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.65
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2

Boulogne vs Chateauroux Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.08.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
25.03.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
22.10.2021 Boulogne Boulogne 1-1 HT 1-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
24.02.2012 Boulogne Boulogne 0-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
23.09.2011 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
13.05.2011 Boulogne Boulogne 3-2 HT 1-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2

Boulogne 1-1 Chateauroux — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
1 - 1
AWAY Chateauroux
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Boulogne vs Chateauroux
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Boulogne and Chateauroux traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Boulogne at 60% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

By the numbers, possession split 61% to 39% in Boulogne's favour, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boulogne had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Boulogne against 1.00 for Chateauroux.

Boulogne vs Chateauroux Result & Final Score

Boulogne 1 - 1 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Boulogne vs Chateauroux Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 60%, draw 23%, Chateauroux 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boulogne), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boulogne) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR3 More France - National League 1
16 May 2025
20:30 Aubagne vs Valenciennes Analysis →
20:30 Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Dijon Analysis →
20:30 Le Mans FC vs Versailles Analysis →
20:30 Paris 13 Atletico vs Concarneau Analysis →
20:30 Quevilly vs Sochaux Analysis →
20:30 Nancy vs Rouen Analysis →