Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mainz 05 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
Our pre-match lean was Bayer Leverkusen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 51%. At 1.40 (~71%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
By the numbers, Mainz 05 had 48% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 52%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 3.08 to 1.24.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mainz 05 and 2.17 for Bayer Leverkusen.
Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Result & Final Score
Mainz 05 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 32%, draw 26%, Bayer Leverkusen 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) went the other way.