Dundee FC 3-2 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
9%
9.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 30% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.63
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
11.45
X/1
13%
6.03
X/2
12%
6.16
X/X
15%
4.69
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
14%
3.75
2/X
6%
11.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.43/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.47
+21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
217 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
21.0 Crosses 19.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.75 xG 1.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
289 Passes 340
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 26
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2026 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-3 HT 1-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
06.12.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-3 HT 0-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
05.10.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-0 HT 3-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
15.02.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
09.11.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
28.09.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
3-2
AWAY Aberdeen
1.97 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
304 Passes 213
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC edged past Aberdeen 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundee FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 56% of the ball to Aberdeen's 44%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.97 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundee FC and 2.83 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Aberdeen?

Dundee FC 3-2 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 41%, draw 27%, Aberdeen 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee FC), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundee FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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