St. Mirren vs Dundee United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Mirren v Dundee United — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Dundee United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Mirren 1-1 Dundee United — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren and Dundee United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was St. Mirren at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, St. Mirren had 49% of the ball to Dundee United's 51%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.02 to 0.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Mirren and 1.33 for Dundee United.
What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Dundee United?
St. Mirren 1-1 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Dundee United?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 42%, draw 25%, Dundee United 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Mirren) went the other way.