Curzon Ashton 0-4 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
52%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
7.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 27% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
53%
Away Win
47%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+15.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-15.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.7pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.39/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.85
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Buxton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2025 Buxton Buxton 2-3 HT 1-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
22.02.2025 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-0 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
05.10.2024 Buxton Buxton 0-1 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
03.02.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-3 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
19.08.2023 Buxton Buxton 1-1 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
07.01.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
0-4
AWAY Buxton
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton cruised past Curzon Ashton 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buxton as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 45% of the ball to Buxton's 55%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.17 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Buxton?

Curzon Ashton 0-4 Buxton in the England - Conference on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 28%, draw 20%, Buxton 53%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buxton), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buxton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
18 Apr 2026
17:00 Oxford City vs Chester Analysis →
17:00 Eastbourne Borough vs AFC Totton Analysis →
17:00 Chesham United vs Chelmsford City Analysis →
17:00 Farnborough vs Tonbridge Angels Analysis →
17:00 Torquay United vs Hemel Hempstead Town Analysis →
17:00 Salisbury vs Horsham Analysis →