Boavista 2-2 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 33% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.40/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.22
-21% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
23.1 Crosses 17.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Vizela
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.59 xG 1.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
321 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.01.2024 Vizela Vizela 1-4 HT 0-2 Boavista Boavista POR
17.04.2023 Vizela Vizela 1-1 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
30.10.2022 Boavista Boavista 2-2 HT 1-2 Vizela Vizela POR
06.02.2022 Boavista Boavista 2-2 HT 0-1 Vizela Vizela POR
28.08.2021 Vizela Vizela 1-1 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
22.11.2020 Vizela Vizela 0-1 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
2-2
AWAY Vizela
2.21 xG 1.49
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
276 Passes 444
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 22
44 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boavista and Vizela couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Boavista at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boavista had 43% of the ball to Vizela's 57%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.21 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boavista had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Boavista and 1.17 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Vizela?

Boavista 2-2 Vizela in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boavista win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Boavista 45%, draw 30%, Vizela 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boavista) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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