Sporting CP 3-0 Chaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.11
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
12.75
2-3 Goals
37%
2.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.29
6+ Goals
18%
2.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
85%
-14.9pp
18%
Draw
9%
+9.3pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaves EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
2.41/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.58
+8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +30%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
451 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
24.0 Crosses 10.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Chaves
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.43 xG 0.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
414 Passes 250
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Chaves Chaves 0-3 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
20.02.2023 Chaves Chaves 2-3 HT 1-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
27.08.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 0-2 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR
30.03.2019 Chaves Chaves 1-3 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
11.11.2018 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR
12.03.2018 Chaves Chaves 1-2 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
3-0
AWAY Chaves
2.72 xG 1.39
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
423 Passes 176
92% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Chaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP ran out comfortable winners over Chaves 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP had 67% of the ball to Chaves's 33%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.72 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sporting CP and 1.17 for Chaves.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Chaves?

Sporting CP 3-0 Chaves in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Chaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 70%, draw 18%, Chaves 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
18 May 2024
17:30 Farense vs Portimonense Analysis →
17:30 Boavista vs Vizela Analysis →
17:30 Estrela vs Gil Vicente Analysis →
17:30 Arouca vs Vitoria Guimaraes Analysis →
20:00 Moreirense vs Estoril Analysis →
22:30 Sporting Braga vs Porto Analysis →