HJK Helsinki vs VPS Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HJK Helsinki v VPS — Team-Based Signals
HJK Helsinki vs VPS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HJK Helsinki 2-1 VPS — Actual Match Statistics
HJK Helsinki squeezed past VPS 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 2.03 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold HJK Helsinki's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.17 for VPS.
What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs VPS?
HJK Helsinki 2-1 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs VPS?
Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 45%, draw 23%, VPS 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.