Oulu 0-2 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Jul 2026

Oulu
0-2 HT 0-1
Gnistan
📅18/07/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
8%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.39
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
13%
5.58
X/2
7%
6.12
X/X
16%
4.95
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
16%
3.91
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.45
Value flag · 2/X at 12.45 — our 12% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.6pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.17/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.48
-15% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.5 Crosses 20.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gnistan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.46 xG 1.29
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 267
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2026 Gnistan Gnistan 1-5 HT 1-2 Oulu Oulu FİN
25.08.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 3-2 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
10.05.2025 Oulu Oulu 2-3 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
27.09.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 1-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
18.08.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-0 HT 2-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
11.05.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
0-2
AWAY Gnistan
1.36 xG 1.36
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
283 Passes 286
21 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Oulu vs Gnistan
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Gnistan beat Oulu 2-0 away from home in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18 Jul 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.36.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gnistan lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oulu and 1.83 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of Oulu vs Gnistan?

Oulu 0-2 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Oulu 38%, draw 33%, Gnistan 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oulu), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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