Chelmsford City 1-2 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
1.63/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.27
+9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Worthing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-2 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
23.11.2024 Worthing Worthing 1-1 HT 0-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
04.03.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
06.01.2024 Worthing Worthing 2-3 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
18.03.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 4-2 HT 1-2 Worthing Worthing İCON
26.11.2022 Worthing Worthing 1-3 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
1-2
AWAY Worthing
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing squeezed past Chelmsford City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chelmsford City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 34% of the ball to Worthing's 66%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.50 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Worthing?

Chelmsford City 1-2 Worthing in the England - Conference on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 41%, draw 28%, Worthing 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelmsford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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