FC Flora Tallinn 6-0 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.16
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
82%
-4.0pp
13%
Draw
11%
+1.5pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.3pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -3%
2.76/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.80
+12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
434 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-4 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
29.06.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
15.03.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-4 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
09.11.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 5-1 HT 3-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
29.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-3 HT 1-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.05.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
6-0
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn swept aside Tallinna Kalev 6-0. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 65% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 35%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.67 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Flora Tallinn 6-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 78%, draw 13%, Tallinna Kalev 9%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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