Galler 7-1 Kuzey Makedonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 18 Nov 2025

Galler
7-1 HT 3-1
Kuzey Makedonya
📅18/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Galler vs Kuzey Makedonya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
14.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.53 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.03
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
17%
4.04
X/2
10%
11.0
X/X
8%
5.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.0
2/2
10%
9.29
2/X
6%
17.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.0pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.8pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Galler v Kuzey Makedonya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galler EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya EU Bookmakers 21%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.09/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.40
-40% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -34%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
– Crosses 17.0
– Yellow Cards 3.5

Galler vs Kuzey Makedonya Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galler
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.85 xG 0.96
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
468 Passes 164
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.03.2025 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 1-1 HT 0-0 Galler Galler DKE
06.09.2013 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 2-1 HT 1-1 Galler Galler DKE

Galler 7-1 Kuzey Makedonya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galler
7-1
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya
3.61 xG 0.47
70% Ball Possession 30%
17 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
550 Passes 191
91% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galler vs Kuzey Makedonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galler ran out comfortable winners over Kuzey Makedonya 7-1. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galler as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Galler had 70% of the ball to Kuzey Makedonya's 30%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 3.61 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Galler and 1.50 for Kuzey Makedonya.

What was the final score of Galler vs Kuzey Makedonya?

Galler 7-1 Kuzey Makedonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galler vs Kuzey Makedonya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galler win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Galler 54%, draw 20%, Kuzey Makedonya 25%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galler), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galler) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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