Romanya 7-1 San Marino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 18 Nov 2025

📅18/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
83%
1.11
Draw
10%
8.78
Away
7%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
1.0
Over 2.5
75%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.75
No
51%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
16.95
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
38%
3.43
4-5 Goals
30%
2.31
6+ Goals
21%
2.26
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.43 — our 38% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
59%
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
2%
35.0
X/1
18%
4.84
X/2
3%
35.0
X/X
4%
32.5
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
2%
35.0
2/X
4%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
83%
Home Win
84%
-1.1pp
9%
Draw
8%
+1.5pp
7%
Away Win
8%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
32%
+17.0pp
51%
BTTS No
68%
-17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY San Marino EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.32/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/3.70
-27% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -47%
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
470 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 70%
36.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.2
26.4 Crosses 7.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Romanya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY San Marino
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.96 xG 0.65
75% Ball Possession 25%
18 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
649 Passes 177
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
55 Box Touches 5
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2025 San Marino San Marino 1-5 HT 0-2 Romanya Romanya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya
7-1
AWAY San Marino
4.87 xG 0.24
76% Ball Possession 24%
25 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
551 Passes 123
87% Pass Accuracy 62%
54 Box Touches 3
13 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Romanya vs San Marino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya ran out comfortable winners over San Marino 7-1. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Romanya as the likeliest winner at 83%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (75%) came in.

On the day, Romanya had 76% of the ball to San Marino's 24%, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 4.87 to 0.24.

What was the final score of Romanya vs San Marino?

Romanya 7-1 San Marino in the World Cup Qualifiers on 18/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya vs San Marino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Romanya win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split Romanya 83%, draw 9%, San Marino 7%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Romanya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Romanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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