Buxton vs Hereford FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Buxton v Hereford FC — Team-Based Signals
Buxton vs Hereford FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Hereford FC
İCON
0-1
HT 0-0
Hereford FC
İCON
2-0
HT 0-0
Buxton
İCON
Buxton 1-2 Hereford FC — Actual Match Statistics
Hereford FC nicked a narrow win over Buxton 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Buxton at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Buxton had 54% of the ball to Hereford FC's 46%, shots finished 13-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hereford FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Buxton and 1.67 for Hereford FC.
What was the final score of Buxton vs Hereford FC?
Buxton 1-2 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Buxton vs Hereford FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Buxton 49%, draw 27%, Hereford FC 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.