Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.71
Over
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.81
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
18%
4.16
6+
9%
20.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.81 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.14
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
10%
4.68
X/2
12%
6.38
X/X
16%
4.2
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
12%
4.85
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City The Market 32%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.17/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.13
+17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 68%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.2 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Salford City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.28 xG 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 340
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-3 HT 2-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
07.10.2023 Salford City Salford City 4-2 HT 1-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
10.03.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 4-3 HT 2-2 Salford City Salford City İN2
13.08.2022 Salford City Salford City 3-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
26.12.2019 Salford City Salford City 3-1 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
21.09.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 4-1 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
1-1
AWAY Salford City
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
178 Passes 171
60% Pass Accuracy 63%
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra and Salford City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 53% of the ball to Salford City's 47%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 2.83 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Salford City?

Crewe Alexandra 1-1 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 38%, draw 31%, Salford City 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Crewe Alexandra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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