Middlesbrough 0-2 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 19 Oct 2024

Middlesbrough
0-2 HT 0-2
Bristol City
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 30% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.07
X/2
7%
10.35
X/X
15%
5.46
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
12%
7.64
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.8pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middlesbrough v Bristol City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.71/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.45
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
393 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.1 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bristol City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.56 xG 1.56
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
455 Passes 261
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-2 HT 0-2 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
25.11.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 3-2 HT 2-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
10.04.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 2-2 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
05.11.2022 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-1 HT 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
19.02.2022 Bristol City Bristol City 2-1 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
14.08.2021 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-1 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL

Middlesbrough 0-2 Bristol City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough
0-2
AWAY Bristol City
1.60 xG 0.82
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
562 Passes 216
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
60 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City saw off Middlesbrough 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Middlesbrough at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Middlesbrough had 69% of the ball to Bristol City's 31%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.60 to 0.82 — on chances, Middlesbrough could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.83 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Bristol City?

Middlesbrough 0-2 Bristol City in the England - Championship on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 48%, draw 28%, Bristol City 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Middlesbrough) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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