Bahreyn 2-2 Avustralya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 19 Nov 2024

📅19/11/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.75
No
55%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
7.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.7pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-5.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.5pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahreyn EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Avustralya EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +28%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
203 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
Crosses 28.6
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahreyn
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Avustralya
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.17 xG 1.29
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
236 Passes 478
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
4 Box Touches 21
5 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2024 Avustralya Avustralya 0-1 HT 0-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn DKE
06.01.2024 Bahreyn Bahreyn 0-2 HT 0-1 Avustralya Avustralya HAZ
18.01.2011 Avustralya Avustralya 1-0 HT 1-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASK
10.06.2009 Avustralya Avustralya 2-0 HT 0-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn DKE
19.11.2008 Bahreyn Bahreyn 0-1 HT 0-0 Avustralya Avustralya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahreyn
2-2
AWAY Avustralya
1.54 xG 1.38
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
270 Passes 442
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahreyn vs Avustralya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahreyn and Avustralya shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Avustralya at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bahreyn had 41% of the ball to Avustralya's 59%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.54 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Avustralya led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Bahreyn and 1.20 for Avustralya.

What was the final score of Bahreyn vs Avustralya?

Bahreyn 2-2 Avustralya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahreyn vs Avustralya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avustralya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bahreyn 21%, draw 31%, Avustralya 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Avustralya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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