FC Dallas vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Dallas v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
FC Dallas vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
0-3
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
ABD
1-2
HT 0-1
Minnesota United
ABD
FC Dallas 5-3 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
FC Dallas beat Minnesota United 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Dallas as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, FC Dallas had 43% of the ball to Minnesota United's 57%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 1.67 to 3.32 — the balance of chances actually favoured Minnesota United.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Dallas and 0.83 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Minnesota United?
FC Dallas 5-3 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 43%, draw 30%, Minnesota United 27%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dallas), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.