Auda vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auda v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Auda vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Auda 1-3 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils got the better of Auda 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Auda at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Auda had 61% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 39%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.04 to 3.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Auda and 0.67 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?
Auda 1-3 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Auda 53%, draw 23%, BFC Daugavpils 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auda) went the other way.