El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Paso Locomotive v Sacramento Republic — Team-Based Signals
El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
0-1
HT 0-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
3-1
HT 1-1
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
El Paso Locomotive 2-1 Sacramento Republic — Actual Match Statistics
El Paso Locomotive nicked a narrow win over Sacramento Republic 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sacramento Republic at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 48% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 52%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.65 to 1.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 1.17 for Sacramento Republic.
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?
El Paso Locomotive 2-1 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 32%, draw 27%, Sacramento Republic 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.