Phoenix Rising 0-1 Memphis 901 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +3%
1.50/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.55
+31% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.3 Crosses 14.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phoenix Rising
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Memphis 901
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.99 xG 1.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
315 Passes 351
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.06.2024 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 5-1 HT 2-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
02.07.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 6-0 HT 3-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
10.07.2022 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 3-1 HT 2-1 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phoenix Rising
0-1
AWAY Memphis 901
0.83 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 Passes 289
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Phoenix Rising vs Memphis 901
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Memphis 901 squeezed past Phoenix Rising 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Phoenix Rising at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Phoenix Rising had 54% of the ball to Memphis 901's 46%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.83 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Memphis 901 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Phoenix Rising and 2.67 for Memphis 901.

What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Memphis 901?

Phoenix Rising 0-1 Memphis 901 in the USL Championship on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Memphis 901?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 45%, draw 29%, Memphis 901 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Phoenix Rising) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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