Santa Clara 1-0 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.45
Over
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.04
2-3
44%
1.77
4-5
17%
5.79
6+
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.5
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.77
X/2
15%
6.15
X/X
14%
3.41
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
8%
5.15
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +9%
1.54/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.15
+21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.7 Crosses 16.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 1.19
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
235 Passes 374
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
15.03.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
25.10.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 2-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
06.05.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 3-2 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
29.12.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
06.02.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-2 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
1-0
AWAY Gil Vicente
0.45 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 6
276 Passes 217
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara edged past Gil Vicente 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Santa Clara had 54% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 46%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.45 to 0.86 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gil Vicente.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Clara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santa Clara and 1.17 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

Santa Clara 1-0 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 44%, draw 26%, Gil Vicente 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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