Tondela 0-0 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

Tondela
0-0 HT 0-0
AVS
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.64
Over
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.54
2-3
39%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.28
6+
8%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.47
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
19%
4.18
X/2
8%
8.34
X/X
11%
4.18
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
7%
7.11
2/X
9%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tondela EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 25%
-12% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.19/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.56
-42% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
20.8 Crosses 18.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tondela
2W-1D-0L
AWAY AVS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.82 xG 1.43
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
164 Passes 249
62% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 AVS AVS 2-2 HT 1-1 Tondela Tondela POR
19.05.2024 AVS AVS 0-1 HT 0-1 Tondela Tondela POR2
14.01.2024 Tondela Tondela 3-2 HT 1-1 AVS AVS POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tondela
0-0
AWAY AVS
0.87 xG 0.87
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
361 Passes 219
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tondela vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tondela and AVS played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Tondela at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Tondela had 60% of the ball to AVS's 40%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.87 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tondela had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tondela and 1.33 for AVS.

What was the final score of Tondela vs AVS?

Tondela 0-0 AVS in the Portugal - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tondela vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tondela 53%, draw 28%, AVS 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tondela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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