Scunthorpe United 5-0 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.78
Over
36%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.92
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
17%
3.68
6+
8%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.92 — our 36% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.6pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.80/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.57
-2% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.12.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-1 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
27.01.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-1 HT 0-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
12.08.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
5-0
AWAY Peterborough Sports
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United ran out comfortable winners over Peterborough Sports 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 58% of the ball to Peterborough Sports's 42%, shots finished 23-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Scunthorpe United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Scunthorpe United and 0.33 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs Peterborough Sports?

Scunthorpe United 5-0 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 52%, draw 27%, Peterborough Sports 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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