Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dinamo Tbilisi v Gagra — Team-Based Signals
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Gagra — Actual Match Statistics
Gagra nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Tbilisi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 72% of the ball to Gagra's 28%, shots finished 20-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gagra led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.17 for Gagra.
What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?
Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Gagra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 46%, draw 22%, Gagra 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.