Torpedo Kutaisi 6-1 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.34/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.20
-8% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Samgurali
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 2-4 HT 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
13.09.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 6-2 HT 3-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
15.05.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
05.04.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
01.12.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-1 HT 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
26.09.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
6-1
AWAY Samgurali
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi swept aside Samgurali 6-1. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Torpedo Kutaisi as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 57% of the ball to Samgurali's 43%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.17 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

Torpedo Kutaisi 6-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 48%, draw 27%, Samgurali 25%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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