FS Jelgava 4-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.08/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.52
-16% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
19.7 Crosses 21.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 290
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2026 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 5-0 HT 3-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
08.03.2026 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
09.11.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
23.08.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
17.06.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
23.04.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
4-1
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
2.07 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
375 Passes 276
40 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FS Jelgava ran out comfortable winners over FK Tukums 2000 4-1 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21 Jun 2026. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 57% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 43%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.07 to 0.86.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.67 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000?

FS Jelgava 4-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 34%, draw 25%, FK Tukums 2000 42%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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