Riga FC 4-0 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
72%
-2.1pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.6pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
2.67/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.14
+12% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 74%
42.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
31.2 Crosses 14.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Liepaja
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.77 xG 1.43
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
382 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2026 Riga FC Riga FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
07.03.2026 Liepaja Liepaja 2-1 HT 1-0 Riga FC Riga FC LET
03.10.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
18.09.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 0-4 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LETK
19.07.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 2-3 HT 1-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
19.05.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
4-0
AWAY Liepaja
2.13 xG 0.45
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
497 Passes 260
26 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 14
FAQ Riga FC vs Liepaja
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Riga FC ran out comfortable winners over Liepaja 4-0 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21 Jun 2026. Half-time: 3-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Riga FC had 61% of the ball to Liepaja's 39%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.13 to 0.45.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC have the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Riga FC and 0.67 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Liepaja?

Riga FC 4-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 70%, draw 19%, Liepaja 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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