Darlington 1883 3-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 32% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.7pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.30/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.42
-15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Southport
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-0 HT 2-0 Southport Southport İCON
09.01.2024 Southport Southport 2-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
31.01.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
16.08.2022 Southport Southport 1-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
22.03.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 1-0 Southport Southport İCON
30.11.2021 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
3-0
AWAY Southport
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 cruised past Southport 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Darlington 1883 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 47% of the ball to Southport's 53%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Darlington 1883 and 0.67 for Southport.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Southport?

Darlington 1883 3-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 42%, draw 29%, Southport 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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