Cavalry 3-0 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
14%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
9.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
66%
+5.0pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.8pp
14%
Away Win
15%
-1.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.58/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.04
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
350 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 78%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
19.9 Crosses 11.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavalry
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Valour
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
382 Passes 312
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.07.2025 Valour Valour 2-1 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
20.07.2025 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 0-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
26.05.2025 Cavalry Cavalry 4-0 HT 1-0 Valour Valour KAPL
19.10.2024 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
31.08.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 2-2 HT 0-0 Valour Valour KAPL
08.07.2024 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-1 Cavalry Cavalry KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
3-0
AWAY Valour
1.19 xG 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
355 Passes 277
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry swept aside Valour 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cavalry as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cavalry had 56% of the ball to Valour's 44%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.19 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cavalry and 1.00 for Valour.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Valour?

Cavalry 3-0 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavalry win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 70%, draw 16%, Valour 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavalry), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cavalry) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAPL More Kanada - Premier League
21 Sep 2025
22:00 Atletico Ottawa vs Forge Analysis →