Oakland Roots 1-1 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.9pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.29/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.30
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
15.4 Crosses 18.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
2W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Tulsa
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.76 xG 1.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
270 Passes 315
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2025 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-2 HT 1-2 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
30.09.2024 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
25.05.2024 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-1 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
17.09.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakland Roots
1-1
AWAY FC Tulsa
0.73 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 11
284 Passes 205
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 30
23 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakland Roots and FC Tulsa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Tulsa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Oakland Roots had 55% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 45%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.73 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Oakland Roots and 0.75 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs FC Tulsa?

Oakland Roots 1-1 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 31%, draw 26%, FC Tulsa 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Tulsa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tulsa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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