Eastbourne Borough 4-0 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 30% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.86/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.86
+16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Farnborough
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
27.01.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-1 HT 1-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
12.08.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
18.02.2023 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-0 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
08.11.2022 Farnborough Farnborough 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
4-0
AWAY Farnborough
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough swept aside Farnborough 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eastbourne Borough as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 55% of the ball to Farnborough's 45%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Eastbourne Borough had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 0.80 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Farnborough?

Eastbourne Borough 4-0 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 49%, draw 23%, Farnborough 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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