Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
3.17
Over Pick
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
18%
8.26
2-3
39%
2.34
4-5
27%
2.38
6+
16%
4.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.86
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.05
X/1
23%
4.32
X/2
7%
11.5
X/X
9%
7.99
2/1
6%
17.3
2/2
7%
6.9
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.1pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps The Market 23%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
2.27/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.57
+7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
439 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
17.4 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.65 xG 1.93
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
533 Passes 336
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
31.07.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps CONLK
16.07.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2 HT 3-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
19.03.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
15.09.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
14.08.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 5-2 HT 4-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
4-2
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.69 xG 1.38
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 12
621 Passes 349
92% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 29
4 Crosses 36
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy beat Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Los Angeles Galaxy as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 61% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 39%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.69 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 2.17 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 55%, draw 22%, Vancouver Whitecaps 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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