Servette 3-1 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.2
X/1
22%
3.9
X/2
9%
13.95
X/X
11%
6.58
2/1
7%
21.3
2/2
7%
11.6
2/X
5%
19.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.5pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.4pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.97/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.86
-19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
25.7 Crosses 10.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Winterthur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
361 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
01.09.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 0-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
04.05.2024 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 2-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
28.04.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 0-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSVK
30.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
23.01.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 3-3 HT 0-2 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
3-1
AWAY Winterthur
3.27 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
436 Passes 360
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
56 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Servette vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette saw off Winterthur 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Servette had 54% of the ball to Winterthur's 46%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 3.27 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Servette and 1.00 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Servette vs Winterthur?

Servette 3-1 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Servette 56%, draw 21%, Winterthur 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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