Araz Nahçıvan 3-2 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
0.94/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.73
-11% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +60%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
27.02.2026 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
19.08.2025 Zira Zira 1-1 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
28.02.2025 Zira Zira 0-2 HT 0-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERK
06.02.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
18.01.2025 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 1-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
06.11.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan edged past Zira 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Araz Nahçıvan made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 0.50 for Zira.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira?

Araz Nahçıvan 3-2 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 33%, draw 29%, Zira 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zira) ✓ BTTS Yes
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