Dumbarton 3-3 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.21
Over
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
29%
4.28
2-3
37%
1.85
4-5
21%
2.76
6+
13%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Dumbarton The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts The Market 34%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
0.76 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.67
1.00 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.56
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Great
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
3 Corners 5
05.04.2025 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-6 HT 0-3 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
28.12.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
09.11.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK1
31.08.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-2 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
09.09.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-3 HT 1-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKCK
REVIEW Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Dumbarton and Kelty Hearts shared the points in a 3-3 draw. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

A gentle 43% lean on Dumbarton didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (56%) came home.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.20 a game for Dumbarton against 1.40 for Kelty Hearts.

Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts Result & Final Score

Dumbarton 3-3 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 43%, draw 24%, Kelty Hearts 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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