Portland Timbers 1-3 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.33
No
40%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.84
2-3 Goals
40%
2.16
4-5 Goals
24%
2.38
6+ Goals
15%
4.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
3.25
1/2
6%
21.25
1/X
5%
12.2
X/1
12%
6.18
X/2
11%
6.33
X/X
11%
6.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
20.85
2/2
15%
3.37
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.85 — our 6% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
71%
-11.5pp
40%
BTTS No
29%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.46/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.11
+20% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
341 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 84%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
18.5 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.53 xG 2.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
408 Passes 376
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.06.2025 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-1 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
21.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABDK
04.05.2025 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-1 HT 3-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
20.06.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
16.05.2024 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-2 HT 0-2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
21.09.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-1 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
1-3
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
2.02 xG 0.70
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
518 Passes 235
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes
Match summary & frequently asked questions

San Jose Earthquakes beat Portland Timbers 3-1 away from home in the USA - Major League on 24 May 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was favoured at 60%.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 65% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 35%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.02 to 0.70.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.67 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Portland Timbers 1-3 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 46%, draw 22%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Timbers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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