Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Portland Timbers v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Portland Timbers 1-3 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes put daylight between themselves and Portland Timbers 3-1 on their travels.
Our pre-match lean was Portland Timbers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (69%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 65% to 35% in Portland Timbers's favour, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.02 to 0.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Portland Timbers.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Portland Timbers against 1.67 for San Jose Earthquakes.
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Result & Final Score
Portland Timbers 1 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 42%, draw 23%, San Jose Earthquakes 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Timbers) went the other way.