Kuzey Kore 1-2 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

Kuzey Kore
1-2 HT 1-1
Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
📅25/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Kuzey Kore vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.64
Over 2.5
31%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
13%
4.27
6+ Goals
6%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 41% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.5pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.0pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
57%
+12.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
43%
-11.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.3pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kuzey Kore v Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Kore EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 55%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-100% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / –
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Kuzey Kore vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Kore
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.95 xG 0.49
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
213 Passes 336
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.10.2024 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-1 HT 0-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore DKE
11.01.2011 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore 0-0 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ASK
28.03.2009 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore 2-0 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri DKE
06.09.2008 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-2 HT 0-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore DKE

Kuzey Kore 1-2 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Kore
1-2
AWAY Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
0.51 xG 1.55
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
209 Passes 577
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kuzey Kore vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri edged past Kuzey Kore 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kuzey Kore had 31% of the ball to Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri's 69%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 0.51 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kuzey Kore had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Kuzey Kore and 0.50 for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri.

What was the final score of Kuzey Kore vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Kuzey Kore 1-2 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Kore vs Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Kore 22%, draw 34%, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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