Virtus Entella vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Virtus Entella v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Virtus Entella vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Virtus Entella
İTCK
Virtus Entella 1-0 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Virtus Entella edged past Padova Calcio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Virtus Entella as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Virtus Entella had 58% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 42%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.38 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Virtus Entella's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Virtus Entella and 1.33 for Padova Calcio.
What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Padova Calcio?
Virtus Entella 1-0 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Padova Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 49%, draw 27%, Padova Calcio 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.