Reggiana 1-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Apr 2026

Reggiana
1-1 HT 1-1
Palermo
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Reggiana vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
55%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 32% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.7
1/2
10%
23.95
1/X
7%
15.85
X/1
8%
9.41
X/2
17%
4.15
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
28%
2.2
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
55%
Away Win
54%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reggiana v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 58%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.92/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.92
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
16.6 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Reggiana vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Palermo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.63 xG 2.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.08.2025 Palermo Palermo 2-1 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
26.01.2025 Reggiana Reggiana 2-1 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
26.10.2024 Palermo Palermo 2-0 HT 2-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
27.04.2024 Palermo Palermo 1-2 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
29.08.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-3 HT 0-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
31.07.2022 Palermo Palermo 3-2 HT 2-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTK

Reggiana 1-1 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
1-1
AWAY Palermo
0.74 xG 1.50
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
132 Passes 399
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 39
10 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana and Palermo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Palermo at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Reggiana had 30% of the ball to Palermo's 70%, shots finished 3-20, expected goals 0.74 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Reggiana and 2.00 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Palermo?

Reggiana 1-1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 20%, draw 25%, Palermo 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palermo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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