Frosinone 3-0 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.91
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
21%
4.29
X/2
8%
11.0
X/X
11%
6.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.1
2/2
10%
7.91
2/X
7%
16.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.1 — our 8% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.3pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.89/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.65
-3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
26.3 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Carrarese
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.30 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 Carrarese Carrarese 0-2 HT 0-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
08.03.2025 Carrarese Carrarese 0-1 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
05.10.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 0-1 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
11.08.2019 Frosinone Frosinone 4-0 HT 2-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
3-0
AWAY Carrarese
3.37 xG 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
307 Passes 208
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 28
25 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone ran out comfortable winners over Carrarese 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Frosinone as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Frosinone had 57% of the ball to Carrarese's 43%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 3.37 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Frosinone had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Frosinone and 0.25 for Carrarese.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Carrarese?

Frosinone 3-0 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 52%, draw 24%, Carrarese 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Frosinone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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