Südtirol 0-3 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Apr 2026

Südtirol
0-3 HT 0-2
Mantova
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Südtirol vs Mantova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.02
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
11.35
X/1
16%
6.04
X/2
8%
6.22
X/X
18%
3.48
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
16%
4.21
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
11.4
Value flag · 2/X at 11.4 — our 11% vs market 5.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Südtirol v Mantova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.16/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.33
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.9 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Südtirol vs Mantova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.76
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
132 Passes 543
63% Pass Accuracy 88%
25 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2025 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
29.03.2025 Mantova Mantova 2-0 HT 2-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
14.12.2024 Südtirol Südtirol 2-2 HT 1-1 Mantova Mantova İTB
06.03.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 1-0 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
24.10.2021 Mantova Mantova 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
08.03.2021 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTC

Südtirol 0-3 Mantova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
0-3
AWAY Mantova
0.90 xG 0.81
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
237 Passes 425
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova ran out comfortable winners over Südtirol 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Mantova found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Südtirol had 41% of the ball to Mantova's 59%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.90 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Südtirol had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Südtirol and 1.00 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Mantova?

Südtirol 0-3 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 36%, draw 34%, Mantova 30%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Südtirol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
25 Apr 2026
13:30 Catanzaro vs Spezia Analysis →
16:00 Frosinone vs Carrarese Analysis →
16:00 Reggiana vs Palermo Analysis →
16:00 Pescara vs Juve Stabia Analysis →
16:00 Virtus Entella vs Padova Calcio Analysis →
18:15 Venezia vs Empoli Analysis →