Venezia 2-0 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.62
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
17.6
X/1
22%
3.91
X/2
7%
14.9
X/X
5%
7.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.5
2/2
7%
12.15
2/X
6%
20.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-3.9pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.2pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 16%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.28/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.88
+33% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
16.9 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Empoli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 320
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
20.04.2025 Empoli Empoli 2-2 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
04.01.2025 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 1-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
16.01.2022 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
11.09.2021 Empoli Empoli 1-2 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTA
26.02.2021 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
2-0
AWAY Empoli
1.61 xG 0.70
78% Ball Possession 22%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
491 Passes 85
89% Pass Accuracy 58%
28 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia saw off Empoli 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Venezia had 78% of the ball to Empoli's 22%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.61 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Venezia and 1.17 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Empoli?

Venezia 2-0 Empoli in the Italy - Serie B on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Venezia 64%, draw 18%, Empoli 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✗ Over 2.5
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