Kagoshima United 0-2 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.57
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.81
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
10%
6.26
X/2
8%
4.9
X/X
14%
4.09
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
24%
3.3
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 45%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-100% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 0
15.06.2024 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
07.04.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
15.09.2019 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 0-3 HT 0-3 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
0-2
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata beat Kagoshima United 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Montedio Yamagata made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 55% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 45%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kagoshima United and 2.00 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Montedio Yamagata?

Kagoshima United 0-2 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - League Cup on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 35%, draw 28%, Montedio Yamagata 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montedio Yamagata), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JLK More Japan - League Cup
26 Mar 2025
12:00 Sagamihara vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
13:00 Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →
13:00 Ehime FC vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
13:00 ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs V-Varen Nagasaki Analysis →
13:00 Mito HollyHock vs Roasso Kumamoto Analysis →
13:00 Kataller Toyama vs JEF United Analysis →