Salford City 4-1 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.67
Over
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.57
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
23%
4.21
6+
10%
21.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.07
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
9%
4.65
X/2
12%
6.66
X/X
19%
4.32
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.31
2/X
5%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-9.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.33/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.42
+2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
252 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 66%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.8 Crosses 15.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Colchester
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.27
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
315 Passes 234
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Colchester Colchester 1-2 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
27.02.2024 Salford City Salford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
22.12.2023 Colchester Colchester 2-1 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
15.04.2023 Salford City Salford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
24.01.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
22.01.2022 Salford City Salford City 0-3 HT 0-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
4-1
AWAY Colchester
1.99 xG 0.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
171 Passes 249
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City swept aside Colchester 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Salford City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Salford City had 44% of the ball to Colchester's 56%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.99 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colchester led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Salford City and 1.50 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Colchester?

Salford City 4-1 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Salford City 36%, draw 31%, Colchester 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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